The Seismic Shift:
Retirement-Driven Labor Shortage

Our Workforce Faces a Dual Risk: Aging Talent and the Rise of AI & Automation

As our region’s workforce continues to age, we face a critical challenge: many of the occupations essential to our economy are approaching a retirement cliff, yet they remain difficult to automate. These roles rely heavily on human skills, expertise, and judgment — capabilities that AI and robotics cannot easily replicate.

This means that as experienced workers retire, we risk significant talent shortages with no quick technological fix. To address this, we must proactively identify where the greatest vulnerabilities exist and take steps to attract, train, and retain the next generation of talent.

This dashboard brings those risks into focus — highlighting the occupations most exposed to both retirement and automation challenges — so we can build a more resilient, future-ready workforce.

How it Works

This dashboard uses data and methodology from Lightcast to assess two critical risks across occupations in our region:

  • Retirement Risk: The percentage of workers aged 55 and older in each occupation — highlighting where retirements may soon create talent gaps.

  • Resilience to Automation: A measure of how difficult it is to automate or replace a role with AI or robotics. Higher scores mean more human-centered tasks that technology struggles to replicate.

Together, these metrics identify occupations that are both hard to automate and at high risk of losing experienced workers — the ones most critical to protect.

Each bubble on the chart represents an occupation:

  • Bubble size = projected number of workers in 2025

  • Bubble color = urgency level (see legend below)

This interactive dashboard allows you to explore how retirement risk and automation resilience vary across occupations. You can interact with it in two main ways:

1. Explore by Clicking on the Chart
  • Each bubble on the chart represents a specific occupation.

  • Click a bubble to view detailed information about that occupation in the left-hand panel.

  • Details will include the occupation name, projected employment in 2025, retirement risk score, automation resilience score, and the assigned priority level.

  • You can click multiple bubbles to compare occupations or focus on one to dive deeper into its risk profile.

2. Search by Occupation Name
  • Use the dropdown menu or search bar on the left panel to find a specific occupation by name.
  • Once selected, the dashboard will highlight the corresponding bubble on the chart.
  • Click the highlighted bubble to view that occupation’s details in the panel.

This dashboard is a tool for identifying workforce vulnerabilities — and opportunities — based on retirement risk and automation resilience. Once you’ve explored the data, here’s how to make sense of what you see:

  • Horizontal Axis – Resilience to Automation
    • Right = More Resistant (harder to automate)
    • Left = More Automatable
  • Vertical Axis – Retirement Risk
    • Top = Higher Risk (more older workers)
    • Bottom = Lower Risk
  • Bubble Size = Projected 2025 employment—larger bubbles = more workers in that role.
  • Bubble Color – Priority Level
    • Red: Top Priority – Protect & Plan
    • Yellow: Retire & Replace
    • Green: Monitor & Invest
    • Gray: Minimal Attention Needed

All Classifications - Main Dashboard

A Closer Look

The following dashboards break down the main analysis into individual views by classification. Each dashboard focuses on a single category—Top Priority: Protect & Plan, Retire & Replace, Monitor & Invest, and Minimal Attention Needed—to provide a closer, more detailed look at the occupations within each group. These views are designed for leaders who want to explore each priority area in greater depth and better understand the specific occupations driving these trends.

Top Priority

Protect & Plan (High Retirement Risk, High Automation Resilience)

These are your most critical roles.
They’re held by older workers and cannot easily be replaced by automation or AI. Losing institutional knowledge in these areas could lead to serious operational gaps.

Recommended Action:
• Identify knowledge holders now.
• Create succession plans immediately.
• Implement mentorship or knowledge transfer programs.

Operational Priority

Automate and Exit (High Retirement Risk, Low Automation Resilience)

These roles are aging — but automation is a viable replacement.
You may not need full succession planning if you can replace some functions with technology.

Recommended Action:

  • Conduct process analysis to identify automation opportunities.
  • Invest in retraining or redeployment strategies if needed.
  • Use natural attrition to drive efficiency gains.

Strategic Priority

Monitor and Invest (Low Retirement Risk, High Automation Resilience)

These roles are hard to automate, but the current workforce is younger.
You don’t need to act urgently, but these positions are strategically important long-term.

Recommended Action:

  • Track employee age trends.
  • Begin talent development and upskilling programs.
  • Plan for eventual internal mobility or leadership development.

Low Priority

Minimal Attention Needed (Low Retirement Risk, Low Automation Resilience)

These roles present the least immediate risk.
Few older workers are in these positions, and automation is feasible. Keep an eye on them, but they don’t require urgent action.

Recommended Action:

  • Maintain standard workforce monitoring.
  • Prepare contingency plans, but no action needed today.

What Now?

Together, these insights help spotlight the occupations most vulnerable to talent loss and least replaceable by technology, guiding workforce planning for the future. For a deeper dive into the data and additional insights, please explore the links provided below. Stay informed to help shape a resilient, future-ready workforce.

CEO Council Slide Deck 2025

Lightcast: The Rising Storm 2024